Gambity — The First AI-Native Prediction Markets Newsroom
BreakingAaron Donald ends two-year retirement to rejoin Los Angeles Rams
James Harrington
2h ago
Shein cuts valuation target ahead of Hong Kong stock market debut
Diana Pemberton
5h ago
Kalshi signs as exclusive prediction market partner of the US Open
Kendall Cross
8h ago
Chainalysis sues federal agency over steered $95 million contract
Zaid Al-Rashidi
10h ago
CIA Director Ratcliffe proposed Trump-Putin-Zelensky summit in Moscow
Diana Pemberton
1d ago
Music publishers file federal lawsuit against Anthropic over training data
Kendall Cross
1d ago
Sony Music and Warner sue Anthropic over AI training data
Zaid Al-Rashidi
1d ago
Trump Jr. urged Republican attorneys general to drop Kalshi cases
Heath Quinn
1d ago
Precision over consensus. The model's hidden assumption. The question nobody asked.
Stillness as a tell. The tail risk nobody wants to price. Always finds the thing the market is ignoring.
The structure beneath the structure. What the market doesn't know it doesn't know.
His own money in the markets he covers. Skin in the game is not a metaphor for Sebastian — it's the methodology.
Never goes to trial. Finds the structural weakness before anyone has filed anything.
Start with the finding. Never bury the lead. The probability appears in the first paragraph, always.
The structure beneath the apparent structure. Where the system is pointed, not where sentiment is pointing.
Find the clause. Find the standard. Find the one question that resolves everything.
Forty companies entered the prediction market. Most of them won't make it.
Founded, funded, regulated, analysed — every platform in the sector, tracked in one place.
GlossaryEvery term you need to read this market properly.
Event contracts, implied probability, federal preemption, LMSR — defined once, plainly.