Macro
Precision over consensus. The model's hidden assumption. The question nobody asked.
CFTC tells court CME perpetual futures complaint is misguided
"This lawsuit is much ado about nothing," its attorneys wrote — which is either a confident dismissal of a frivolous claim or a signal that the agency knows exactly how narrow it needs the c…
Eleanor Ashworth
2h ago
Bank of America sees Supreme Court deferring Kalshi ruling to 2027
Eleanor Ashworth
9h ago
Prediction market volumes fall for first time in a year
Eleanor Ashworth
1d ago
Sportradar expands Polymarket data deal to cover six new leagues
Eleanor Ashworth
2d ago
Polymarket surveillance chief says midterm controls are ready
Eleanor Ashworth
3d ago
NFL drops Caesars and rewrites its sportsbook terms
Eleanor Ashworth
4d ago
Eleven subscriptions. Nine of them do the same thing.
US launches insider trading cases against prediction market operators
The implication is straightforward: someone knew something they shouldn't have, and they used a prediction market to monetize it.
Eleanor Ashworth
6d ago
Kalshi faces fresh legal challenge over prediction markets in Montana
Eleanor Ashworth
7d ago
Third Circuit stands alone as eighty cases rewrite Indian gaming law
Eleanor Ashworth
8d ago
DraftKings pushes prediction market ads into four major states
Eleanor Ashworth
8d ago
Kalshi and Polymarket move into AI prediction contracts
Eleanor Ashworth
9d ago
Gemini secures exclusive crypto contract rights through Apex deal
Eleanor Ashworth
9d ago
The spread is where your edge quietly goes to die.
Apple cuts Siri and VisionPro teams as John Ternus nears CEO role
Apple confirmed it is eliminating roughly 200 positions tied to Siri and VisionPro, shuttering the team that built games for the headset and reducing the group working on 3D video.
Eleanor Ashworth
11d ago
CME chair's staff-size defence exposes the self-certification gap
Twenty-five hundred event contracts have been self-certified since January 2025.
Eleanor Ashworth
12d ago
QuinnBet's AML fine exposes speed gap in gambling oversight
Eleanor Ashworth
12d ago
Selig misspoke on mention markets as Duffy pressed manipulation case
Eleanor Ashworth
13d ago
Capital.com splits UAE crypto custody into separate licensed entity
Eleanor Ashworth
14d ago
Nevada regulators pursue daily fines against Kalshi over probe dispute
Eleanor Ashworth
16d ago
Prediction markets reach 24 billion dollars a month as Kalshi adds drug trials
The volume milestone arrived alongside Kalshi's move into cancer drug trial contracts — markets that let participants take positions on whether a specific therapy will clear a specific regul…
Eleanor Ashworth
17d ago
Everyone waited to see who would survive the regulator.
Polymarket US parlay beta clears 7.4 million dollars in first trades
Eleanor Ashworth
17d ago
Mention markets face federal review after teleprompter insider case
Eleanor Ashworth
18d ago
Washington splits on Kalshi ruling for financial markets
Eleanor Ashworth
18d ago
Ofwat proposes drought surcharges for English water bills
Eleanor Ashworth
18d ago
JPMorgan walked away from Polymarket's deposits but kept its hand out
Eleanor Ashworth
19d ago
Lebanon covered, Indonesia covered twice, European wildfires covered
Saudi Arabia brings the Gulf's capital architecture and the Sunni religious weight that Riyadh still projects when it chooses to.
Eleanor Ashworth
20d ago
Nobody thinks they are worth hacking. That is the appeal.
College majors are being abandoned as AI disrupts graduate hiring
Eleanor Ashworth
20d ago
Gambity HEADLINE: Zambia vote count resumes after ballot papers stolen in violence
Eleanor Ashworth
21d ago
OpenAI loses its operational core as IPO clock runs
Eleanor Ashworth
21d ago
Europe's heat dome forces a nuclear shutdown the grid cannot absorb
Eleanor Ashworth
22d ago
Chinese carmakers edge toward European market dominance by 2035
Eleanor Ashworth
22d ago
Standard Chartered's HKD stablecoin venture marks Hong Kong's institutional entry
The 38% against reflects execution risk and dollar-peg friction, not structural doubt.
Eleanor Ashworth
23d ago
Gold tests the $4,855 ceiling as real yield compression deepens
That is the probability gold clears $4,855 and holds above it through the August CPI print.
Eleanor Ashworth
23d ago
Dollar reserve status faces structural test as renminbi clears Europe
Eleanor Ashworth
24d ago
Hormuz Locked: Oil at $90 Prices 71% Inflation Revival
Eleanor Ashworth
24d ago
Ice Silk Road: Arctic Route Prices 71% Shift
Eleanor Ashworth
25d ago
Gold Flow: ETFs Chase Central Banks, 71%
Eleanor Ashworth
25d ago
Barrick Revolt: Thornton Exit Priced 61%
Barrick Mining prices at 61% that John Thornton exits the chairmanship before the end of Q4 2026.
Eleanor Ashworth
26d ago
Euro Rally: Earnings Lift, Political Drag 58%
Eleanor Ashworth
26d ago
Strait Risk: Hormuz Closure Priced 31%
Eleanor Ashworth
27d ago