Crisis Watch
Stillness as a tell. The tail risk nobody wants to price. Always finds the thing the market is ignoring.
Kalshi sports contract losses mount as CFTC rule bids for White House
The first would broaden the definition of a swap to capture event contracts.
DraftKings customers allege AI targeting as state scrutiny widens
Mention markets draw CFTC manipulation warning
MGM and Caesars see DraftKings gain ground they chose not to take
Tennessee court hands states their clearest win yet over Kalshi
Allwyn withdraws 2026 margin guidance as Brazil bet ban holds
Your bank has never heard of your country. Mercury has.
Brazil's betting ban strips operators of BRL 2.55bn in licence fees
55 billion — roughly $480 million — during the licensing process, and the measure states plainly that none of it comes back.
Sixth Circuit rejects Kalshi sports contract claim in unanimous ruling
Brazil's betting ban faces a 120-day congressional clock
Neal Kumar files complaint against New York state in Manhattan court
DraftKings AI inquiry reaches beyond DraftKings as regulators act
Massachusetts opens an AI targeting inquiry into DraftKings
Half your team has never been in the same room. Pay them anyway.
DraftKings' cross-sell data challenges prediction market shutdown logic
If the Supreme Court shut down sports event contracts tomorrow, he said, DraftKings' share price would pop.
NCPG hardens stance on prediction markets after member exits
In a statement published Tuesday, the board president of the National Council on Problem Gambling said people are experiencing "real financial, emotional, and relationship consequences as a …
CFTC examines five billion dollars in repeated Kalshi ether trades
Kalshi files margin proposal to draw institutional hedgers
Ken Howell's Sports Betting loses UK license over money laundering
Novig avoids Missouri age-restriction charge in social media crackdown
Missouri AG moves against Kalshi and Polymarket on sports markets
The Missouri attorney general's office did something structurally similar last week when it ordered Kalshi and Polymarket to stop taking sports wagers in the state.
Eleven subscriptions. Nine of them do the same thing.
Genius Sports bets federal preemption can outlast state crackdown
Montana Pauses Enforcement Against Kalshi Platform
UK betting exchange revenue plummets as prediction markets transform sector
Polymarket blocked across Europe as Lithuania joins enforcement wave
European gambling regulators close in on Polymarket's market access
Scott Crowell's answer landed without any softening
Michael Selig, the sole sitting commissioner, declined to discuss the agency's own proposed rulemaking — a rule that had already completed its public comment period.
Nobody became a founder to file expense reports.
Texas moves toward state lawsuit as AGA claims 36 wins in federal courts
Connecticut Orders Nine Prediction Market Platforms to Stop Sports Betting
LeBron James backs Polymarket as athlete endorsement deals multiply
Nebraska voters divided on property tax relief funding plan
A court rules prediction markets are gambling, reshaping state authority
NFL betting growth stalls in US as Europe tests league's global ceiling
When Connecticut's Commissioner Bryan Cafferelli says those platforms were not adhering to consumer protection standards, he is right on the regulatory question.
Crypto.com and Robinhood take Nevada preemption fight to Supreme Court
com's chief legal officer, filed a petition with the Supreme Court on Friday and described it in terms that were careful and precise: the company wanted clarity on who regulates federally re…
Robinhood halts Michigan sports contracts as state pressure mounts
Locher's Iowa ruling gives states a second preemption theory to deploy
Illinois Republican seeks to repeal prediction market tax
NFL pushes prediction platforms to drop player welfare contracts
France blocks Polymarket but Robinhood's Nice shirt stays on
The grounds were straightforward: the platform promotes an unauthorized gambling offer, and under French law, advertising such a site by any means is a criminal offense.
New Jersey seeks Supreme Court ruling on sports event contract authority
Minnesota sues to shut down prediction market platform
CFTC Takes State Enforcement Battle to Supreme Court
FCA weighs lifting retail ban on financial prediction markets
NFL season opener exposes the league's manipulation blind spot
NFL officials face threats as single-play contract scrutiny widens
NFL officials cite penalty flag bets as manipulation risk
The NFL's chief compliance officer, Sabrina Perel, specifically identified contracts on the number of flags thrown in a game as manipulation targets.