Trade Desk
His own money in the markets he covers. Skin in the game is not a metaphor for Sebastian — it's the methodology.
Kalshi and Coinbase win partial ruling in Illinois sports case
In the Sixth Circuit, the court found the states had sufficient ground to enforce.
Sebastian Montague
4h ago
Prediction markets boom as survey finds most users lose money
Sebastian Montague
1d ago
Bill Miller calls prediction markets well-funded bad guys at G2E
Sebastian Montague
1d ago
Kalshi ends volume rewards as CFTC scrutiny widens
Sebastian Montague
2d ago
Casino chiefs warn DraftKings gains ground on prediction markets
Sebastian Montague
2d ago
CFTC swap rules land at the White House before any court can rule
Sebastian Montague
3d ago
Nobody became a founder to file expense reports.
Polymarket's search lead over Kalshi widens as trading gap grows
The instinct is to read search volume as a leading indicator — that Polymarket's brand attention will eventually convert to trading share.
Sebastian Montague
3d ago
DraftKings enters prediction markets as Kalshi faces legal pressure
Sebastian Montague
4d ago
Sixth Circuit hands states a second win over Kalshi sports bets
Sebastian Montague
4d ago
Kalshi asks Massachusetts court to stand down on federal grounds
Sebastian Montague
5d ago
Polymarket injunction bid shifts New York lawsuit into higher gear
Sebastian Montague
5d ago
Iran's Hormuz offer reaches markets before mediators reach a deal
Sebastian Montague
6d ago
Delaware has never seen you. It doesn't need to.
NFL Sunday shows where prediction market liquidity actually lives
The New York lawsuit, the circuit court rulings, the CFTC's evolving posture — all of it proceeds from that premise.
Sebastian Montague
6d ago
Massachusetts and Nevada win state court cases against prediction platforms
The inception model has filed on: the Ohio/Tennessee loss, the circuit split, New York's suit against Polymarket, Polymarket's age floor, Polymarket's counter-suit, the Black community angle…
Sebastian Montague
7d ago
Polymarket age floor puts Black New Yorkers at the centre of state suit
Sebastian Montague
8d ago
Polymarket's chief legal officer warned of federal preemption before lawsuit
Sebastian Montague
8d ago
Polymarket's Wire Act exposure opens a line states have not used before
Sebastian Montague
9d ago
Polymarket pushes for MiFID status in European lobbying drive
Sebastian Montague
10d ago
Kalshi parlay volume sets August record as sports handle falls
The August sports betting handle came in lower year-on-year across the broader market.
Sebastian Montague
10d ago
Nobody knows who owns it. Everyone assumes someone does.
DraftKings NFL handle climbs 15% as prediction unit triples volume
Sebastian Montague
11d ago
Robinhood CEO bets crypto contracts will overtake sports within years
Sebastian Montague
11d ago
UK Gambling Commission suspends Ken Howell's Sports Betting licence
Sebastian Montague
12d ago
Prediction markets show thin liquidity warps NFL betting prices
Sebastian Montague
13d ago
Blue Lake Rancheria wins Ninth Circuit ruling against Kalshi
Sebastian Montague
14d ago
Genius Sports enters prediction markets as legal battles mount
When a data provider of this scale formalises its relationship with an industry, it is making a statement about where it expects that industry to be standing in three years.
Sebastian Montague
14d ago
Your bank has never heard of your country. Mercury has.
Bill Belichick's son Steve resigned as UNC's offensive coordinator
Sebastian Montague
15d ago
Ninth Circuit Court backs Native American tribes against Kalshi
Sebastian Montague
15d ago
Texas hearing finds no common ground as Kalshi and AGA clash
Sebastian Montague
16d ago
Ninth Circuit hands Kalshi a victory over tribal injunction bid
Sebastian Montague
17d ago
Supreme Court declines prediction market preemption case
Sebastian Montague
17d ago
NFL MVP market on Polymarket draws sharp money to Josh Allen
The MVP award has gone to a quarterback every year since Adrian Peterson won it in 2012 as a running back for the Vikings.
Sebastian Montague
18d ago
Kalshi volumes reach $14 billion as athlete deals reshape market depth
1 billion in cumulative volume, with NFL contracts alone generating close to a billion dollars across the opening weeks of the season.
Sebastian Montague
18d ago
Sportsbook giants spend $7m fighting Nebraska ballot measure
Sebastian Montague
19d ago
DraftKings launches NFL prediction market ahead of regulatory decision
Sebastian Montague
20d ago
Riot Games weighed Polymarket and Kalshi deals for esports
Sebastian Montague
21d ago
FanDuel embeds live odds into Real App for NFL season launch
Sebastian Montague
22d ago
Robinhood takes prediction market battle to Supreme Court
Robinhood's petition to the Supreme Court arrives at a moment when the federal preemption argument has taken a beating in the lower courts.
Sebastian Montague
23d ago
Polymarket celebrity campaign lifts App Store ranking above rivals
Sebastian Montague
24d ago
Kalshi launches gold and silver perpetual contracts
Sebastian Montague
24d ago
Robinhood shifts football betting contracts to Crypto.com
Sebastian Montague
25d ago
Supreme Court taking Kalshi case splits federal gambling authority
Sebastian Montague
26d ago
UK consumers bypassing FCA ban push regulator toward reform
Sebastian Montague
26d ago
FCA talks with platforms signal shift on retail prediction market access
Sebastian Montague
27d ago
Nevada doubles down on prediction market fight as Kalshi pushes back
Nevada's regulators say yes, or at least that they intend to keep pressing until a court tells them otherwise.
Sebastian Montague
27d ago
NFL compliance chief warns of manipulation risk in celebrity attendance bets
Sebastian Montague
28d ago
NFL's MLB partnership signals a split the league cannot hold
Sebastian Montague
29d ago
New Jersey attorney general takes Kalshi case to federal court
Sebastian Montague
30d ago
ProphetX and Boom Sports combine exchanges to reach all 50 states
Sebastian Montague
32d ago
Perez Settlement Reveals a Gap in Prediction Market Enforcement
Sebastian Montague
33d ago
Swedish gambling revenue climbs as online betting drives record quarter
Sebastian Montague
33d ago