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Never goes to trial. Finds the structural weakness before anyone has filed anything.

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CFTC argues CME perpetual futures case lacks legal standing

The CFTC's response, filed Wednesday, was four words before the argument even began: "much ado about nothing.

Victoria Blackwell 3h ago
Legal

Michigan gaming regulator ends partnership with gambling council

Victoria Blackwell 10h ago
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Kalshi election case remains blocked ahead of fresh court hearing

Victoria Blackwell 2d ago
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Oklahoma tribes tell Congress Clarity Act will strip gaming power

Victoria Blackwell 2d ago
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Canadian regulators distinguish sports bets from financial contracts

Victoria Blackwell 3d ago
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NFL ends partnership with Caesars sportsbook

Victoria Blackwell 4d ago
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Your bank has never heard of your country. Mercury has.

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Ninth Circuit leaves Kalshi with one path left in Nevada

The Ninth Circuit rejected both the characterization and the preemption claim.

Victoria Blackwell 4d ago
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Commodity Exchange Act preemption fails its first appeals court test

Victoria Blackwell 5d ago
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Ninth Circuit Court Rejects Kalshi's Challenge to Sports Betting Rules

Victoria Blackwell 6d ago
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Montana court rejects Kalshi bid to block state betting law

Victoria Blackwell 6d ago
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Nevada imposes daily fines in enforcement power test

Victoria Blackwell 7d ago
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CFTC emergency order pits federal authority against state courts

Victoria Blackwell 8d ago
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Eleven subscriptions. Nine of them do the same thing.

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Kalshi lobbying spend doubles as federal venue fight continues

Kalshi's preemption argument — that the Commodity Exchange Act displaces state authority to regulate CFTC-designated contract markets — is structurally stronger in federal court.

Victoria Blackwell 9d ago
Legal

Van Dyke defense calls CFTC amicus bid a back-door prosecution

Van Dyke's defense attorneys called the CFTC a "regulatory wolf" — not a friend of the court but a predator trying to advance its own interests through borrowed standing.

Victoria Blackwell 10d ago
Legal

BGC risks 800 million pounds on illegal Premier League bets

Victoria Blackwell 11d ago
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California drops settlement talks in antitrust case against Ellison's WBD deal

Victoria Blackwell 11d ago
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Fischer warns Clarity Act will fail as states gain power

Victoria Blackwell 12d ago
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Kalshi takes federal preemption into New Mexico tribal court

Victoria Blackwell 13d ago
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Luana Lopes Lara tells CME chief to learn efficiency at CFTC

"I have more people in my regulatory department than you and your entire company," the CME Group CEO told Kalshi's chief operating officer at the CFTC's first Innovation Advisory Committee m…

Victoria Blackwell 13d ago
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Nobody thinks they are worth hacking. That is the appeal.

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Appeals courts handle surge in prediction market legal cases

Victoria Blackwell 14d ago
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CFTC manipulation standard leaves remaining mention markets exposed

Victoria Blackwell 15d ago
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CFTC seeks public input on compute derivatives ahead of CME launch

Victoria Blackwell 15d ago
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Gambling Commission faces pressure over Reform UK donor networks

Victoria Blackwell 16d ago
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Novig sues Wisconsin attorney general over sports contracts

Victoria Blackwell 18d ago
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Kalshi legal map obscures the theory that decides the outcome

§ 2(e), prohibits states from enforcing gaming or gambling laws against transactions that fall within CFTC jurisdiction.

Victoria Blackwell 18d ago
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Delaware has never seen you. It doesn't need to.

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Banking pressure on prediction markets hardens as JPMorgan exit

Victoria Blackwell 19d ago
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White House meeting puts CFTC chair at the table with prediction

Victoria Blackwell 19d ago
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King County judge orders Kalshi to halt most contracts in Washington

Victoria Blackwell 19d ago
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Lebanon is covered twice. Indonesia earthquake covered twice.

Victoria Blackwell 20d ago
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Looking at what's already been published, and at what these sources actually contain th…

Victoria Blackwell 20d ago
Legal

Gambity HEADLINE: French court blocks Macron's social media age restriction law

The Gambity assessment puts the likelihood of substantively equivalent legislation — revised, constitutionally compliant, and enacted within eighteen months — at 31%.

Victoria Blackwell 21d ago
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China's tariff transshipment routes face new US enforcement pressure

The Gambity signal on concrete enforcement action within six months sits at 38%.

Victoria Blackwell 21d ago
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Mangione plea talks open a federal stalking statute few lawyers have tested

Victoria Blackwell 22d ago
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CFTC backs Kalshi as New York preemption fight sharpens

Victoria Blackwell 22d ago
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CFTC emergency order tells New York its lawsuit cannot ground Kalshi

Victoria Blackwell 23d ago
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CFTC and SEC move jointly against Goliath Ventures in $400 million fraud case

Victoria Blackwell 23d ago
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CFTC civil case against soldier paused as criminal prosecution takes precedence

The probability that the CFTC's civil case against Gannon Kenly Van D proceeds to substantive enforcement before any parallel criminal matter resolves sits, on Gambity's analysis, at roughly…

Victoria Blackwell 24d ago
Legal

Betting Shops Blocked: Council Veto Prices 44% Reform

Victoria Blackwell 24d ago
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Biglaw's PE Bet: Partnership Model Faces 67% Shift

Victoria Blackwell 25d ago
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FIFA Fractures: Confederations Signal 78% Revolt

Victoria Blackwell 25d ago
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NY Rules Crack: Novig Exposes 61% Preemption Gap

Victoria Blackwell 26d ago
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Kinahan Transfer: Federal Preemption Holds at 64%

Victoria Blackwell 26d ago
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DOJ v. D.C. Bar: Political Pressure Hits 78%

Victoria Blackwell 27d ago