Markets
Precision over consensus. The model's hidden assumption. The question nobody asked.
Illinois lawmaker moves to repeal new prediction market tax
Travis Weaver and would repeal a tiered levy of 1.
Eleanor Ashworth
4h ago
Under-18 traders use Kalshi platform to highlight Canadian regulatory gap
Eleanor Ashworth
1d ago
Lottomatica merger with CIRSA creates second-largest listed gaming group
Eleanor Ashworth
1d ago
New York attorney general challenges CFTC order shielding Kalshi
Eleanor Ashworth
2d ago
DraftKings and Flutter shares surge as court blocks Kalshi sports contracts
Eleanor Ashworth
2d ago
New Jersey faces prediction market cases citing Ninth Circuit ruling
Eleanor Ashworth
3d ago
Delaware has never seen you. It doesn't need to.
White House teleprompter operator settles CFTC insider case
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission's settlement order against Perez describes a pattern that ran across 43 contracts tied to the number of times President Trump mentioned specific term…
Eleanor Ashworth
3d ago
Nevada court calls Kalshi sports contracts plain sports betting
Eleanor Ashworth
4d ago
Flutter Entertainment shares rose seven percent on a single court ruling
Eleanor Ashworth
4d ago
Federal prosecutors prepare insider trading charges in prediction market probe
Eleanor Ashworth
5d ago
Federal appeals courts prepare to split on major legal question
Eleanor Ashworth
7d ago
White House shifts prediction market fight from courts to politics
Eleanor Ashworth
7d ago
Everyone waited to see who would survive the regulator.
Supreme Court to review split circuit court rulings on prediction markets
Webster said New Jersey is expected to petition the Supreme Court for review by September 3.
Eleanor Ashworth
8d ago
DraftKings builds its own exchange stack as NFL season opens
The NFL opener on September 9 is the forcing function.
Eleanor Ashworth
8d ago
Van Dyke case forces a reckoning on what event contracts are
Eleanor Ashworth
10d ago
Nevada argues states can regulate prediction markets
Eleanor Ashworth
11d ago
Polymarket bettors' position data exposes active US military deployments
Eleanor Ashworth
11d ago
Robinhood and CME find common ground against mention markets
Eleanor Ashworth
12d ago
Cantor enters prediction markets as institutional money tests the model
Luana Lopes Lara told the room that CME might want to examine its staffing ratios.
Eleanor Ashworth
13d ago
You found the right person. They live in the wrong place.
Terry Duffy calls Kalshi's hot dog contract a manipulation risk at CFTC
Eleanor Ashworth
13d ago
Boot Hill Casino locks DraftKings into Kansas sports betting to 2030
Eleanor Ashworth
14d ago
State Representative Targets Wildfire Betting on Prediction Markets
Eleanor Ashworth
14d ago
Copper perps show Kalshi's derivatives push outpacing its politics fight
Eleanor Ashworth
15d ago
Kalshi suspends three congressional candidates for self-betting
Eleanor Ashworth
15d ago
Susquehanna enters prediction markets as dedicated liquidity provider
Joe Grubb, Head of Business Development at the firm, described large institutional risk transfer as "the next area of material growth" for prediction markets.
Eleanor Ashworth
15d ago
Nobody knows who owns it. Everyone assumes someone does.
Denmark's gambling regulator blocks Polymarket over betting law
Eleanor Ashworth
16d ago
Connecticut Judge Maintains Position Despite CFTC Emergency Order
Eleanor Ashworth
17d ago
Polymarket US begins parlay beta as Kalshi books 25 million in fees
Eleanor Ashworth
17d ago
Kevin Love retirement market moves as NBA career enters final chapter
Eleanor Ashworth
18d ago
Kalshi's federal shield holds but state courts keep cutting
Eleanor Ashworth
19d ago
Prediction markets flag over 100 insider trading cases in 2026
Together, two platforms whose core commercial claim is that markets aggregate information honestly have spent a significant portion of this year documenting the ways people try to cheat that…
Eleanor Ashworth
19d ago
JPMorgan dropped Polymarket's accounts then sought an IPO role
That is a bank doing what banks do when they are uncertain about a regulatory environment: they reduce exposure to the operating risk while preserving optionality on the upside.
Eleanor Ashworth
19d ago
South Korea peace proposal revives a market that priced reunification
Eleanor Ashworth
20d ago
South Korea's president proposes formal talks with North to end Korean War
Eleanor Ashworth
20d ago
UK's second train derailment in two days raises infrastructure probability
Eleanor Ashworth
21d ago
Farage wins Clacton return but faces resumed inquiry
Eleanor Ashworth
21d ago
Karoline Leavitt leaves the White House podium three months before midterms
The gap between Karoline Leavitt's departure and a confirmed replacement is 83% likely to narrow within ten days — not because the White House moves efficiently, but because it cannot afford…
Eleanor Ashworth
22d ago
Anthropic IPO market implies a valuation the public equity world has not yet priced
Eleanor Ashworth
22d ago
Fed September call hangs on one number that hasn't moved
Eleanor Ashworth
23d ago
Bessent and Takaichi are pulling the yen rescue in opposite directions
Eleanor Ashworth
23d ago
Midterm arithmetic shifts as inflation outlasts the Fed's political window
Eleanor Ashworth
24d ago
Shein's Floor: Sub-$30bn Prices 38% IPO Close
Eleanor Ashworth
24d ago
CPI Collision: Fed Cut Window Narrows 61%
Eleanor Ashworth
25d ago
Iran Strait: Oil Supply Risk Hits 71%
Here is the mechanism: roughly 20% of global oil supply transits the Strait.
Eleanor Ashworth
25d ago
Breadth Surge: S&P Rotation Prices 63% Hold
Eleanor Ashworth
26d ago
Europe Recovery: Earnings Up, War Risk 34%
Eleanor Ashworth
26d ago