Strategy
His own money in the markets he covers. Skin in the game is not a metaphor for Sebastian — it's the methodology.
Fanatics enforces age limits as rivals face underage trading scrutiny
9 billion in trading volume on Kalshi had been generated by users under eighteen.
Kalshi geofence holds in Michigan as state court issues permanent bar
Crude Oil Perpetuals Signal Kalshi's Commodity Ambitions
New Jersey's Supreme Court petition sets up a circuit split ruling
New Jersey asks Supreme Court to rule on Kalshi state authority
Kalshi's five enforcement cases put political traders on notice
Nobody thinks they are worth hacking. That is the appeal.
1789 Capital leads one billion dollar Polymarket funding round
was already an adviser to Kalshi, already a partner at 1789 Capital, already a figure whose financial entanglement with the prediction market industry had drawn a congressional inquiry.
Nationwide warns Gen Z against prediction markets as financial strategy
44 states now have attorneys general pressing the CFTC to act
Kalshi calls New York Times sports betting comparison false
DraftKings and FanDuel see customer satisfaction drop
High Roller's ROLR platform moves to final launch stage in US
Everyone waited to see who would survive the regulator.
Polymarket signs Sportradar data deal as league talks advance
Kalshi just launched player availability contracts ahead of NFL Week 1.
Prediction markets converge on California as NFL season nears
The state holds tens of millions of adults who cannot legally place a sports bet, and prediction market operators have spent the summer building toward this moment.
Kalshi LeBron market paid 11x to bots in milliseconds
Massachusetts casino revenue holds steady while prediction markets push into new states
DraftKings launches California prediction markets outside sports betting
Fifty operators chasing five to eight viable slots in prediction markets
Polymarket and Kalshi both add parlay products amid legal pressure
The timing is not accidental, and the strategic logic running beneath it is worth unpacking.
Eleven subscriptions. Nine of them do the same thing.
Washington State Joins Michigan and Nevada Without Power Supply
Vlad Tenev backed mention market curbs without asking for a ban
Manchester United trophy sales reveal sports market liquidity gaps
Sports prediction markets face uneven legal access across US states
QuinnBet customer lost 9,000 pounds in four days with no check raised
Kalshi sports mention markets suspended as CFTC widens review
The suspension covers contracts where traders could bet on whether a broadcaster would say a specific word during a game — "MVP", "ankle", "redshirt".
The spread is where your edge quietly goes to die.
Ballon d'Or market on Kalshi draws first serious liquidity test
Kalshi files copper perpetual contract alongside US500 bid
Novig Files Fifth State Lawsuit Over Federal Preemption
Kalshi expands contract offerings with cancer drug trial deals
UKGC finds identity failures blocking withdrawals for verified customers
Kalshi pushes back on Nevada fine as two-front legal war widens
Kalshi's formal pushback against Nevada's geofencing fine — which has been escalating at $120,000 a day — rests on a federal preemption argument the company has already rehearsed in Washingt…
Nevada fines Kalshi for geofencing failures as state legal pressure
The Nevada dispute is narrower than the injunction in King County or the consumer protection suit filed by Baltimore, but it is instructive in a different way.
Prediction markets refer over 100 suspicious trades to authorities in
Looking at the inception model, the Korea peace proposal is heavily
Canada moves to expel Trump's ambassador as US-Canada relations deepen in crisis
American consumer confidence fractures along partisan lines as retail data confirms the…
AI and automation split America's political map before either party finds the frame
The probability signal on this one sits at 31% — that either major party arrives at the 2026 midterms with a coherent, polling-tested message on artificial intelligence and automation that m…
Romania shuts Cernavodă nuclear plant as Danube drought deepens Europe's power crisis
FlightAware withdraws Kalshi suit one day after filing
FlightAware drops Kalshi flight market suit, leaving the legal question open
Wisconsin's Democratic primary exposes the party's unresolved tension
K-shaped recovery narrows as US consumer data shifts
UK Banks Blink: Crypto Access Clears 64%
Grayscale Retreat: Altcoin ETF Market Prices 31% Revival
On Polymarket, revival probability for a near-term altcoin ETF wave beyond the established Bitcoin and Ethereum products sits at roughly 31%.