AI Markets

Ninth Circuit ruling puts Kalshi sports model under federal review

The Third Circuit said yes, in April, ruling 2-1 that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission holds exclusive jurisdiction over Kalshi's sports event contracts, preempting New Jersey's gami…

Zaid Al-Rashidi 6h ago

AI Markets

Kalshi faces $500,000 daily fine in Michigan regulatory dispute

Zaid Al-Rashidi 1d ago

AI Markets

Michigan court makes Kalshi geofence sports contracts statewide

Zaid Al-Rashidi 1d ago

AI Markets

Arizona court extends election wagering case beyond sports ruling

Zaid Al-Rashidi 2d ago

AI Markets

1789 Capital's Polymarket stake draws a second political investor

Zaid Al-Rashidi 2d ago

AI Markets

Fanatics joins NFL betting roster as exclusivity clause disappears

Zaid Al-Rashidi 3d ago

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You found the right person. They live in the wrong place.

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AI Markets

Alpaca deal gives Kalshi a path into 300 financial institutions

Alpaca reaches roughly 14 million brokerage accounts across more than 300 financial institutions.

Zaid Al-Rashidi 4d ago

AI Markets

Prediction market ETF filings reach 128 funds as SEC holds approvals

Zaid Al-Rashidi 5d ago

AI Markets

Sportradar deal strengthens legal argument for prediction markets

Zaid Al-Rashidi 5d ago

AI Markets

Former White House staffer ordered to pay $172,000 for prediction market trades

Zaid Al-Rashidi 6d ago

AI Markets

Ninth Circuit and Third Circuit now hold opposite views on Kalshi

Zaid Al-Rashidi 6d ago

AI Markets

Prediction market insider trading probe widens to earnings bets

Zaid Al-Rashidi 7d ago

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Nobody thinks they are worth hacking. That is the appeal.

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AI Markets

DraftKings player availability markets draw CFTC injury warning

The CFTC's proposed event contract rules, issued in June, identified contracts on the occurrence or severity of player injuries as products likely to be found contrary to the public interest…

Zaid Al-Rashidi 8d ago

AI Markets

Novig wins stays in two states as prediction market litigation stalls

With the Van Dyke criminal case already forcing federal courts to draw lines around what event contracts are, and the Ninth Circuit now weighing Nevada's preemption argument using Kalshi's o…

Zaid Al-Rashidi 9d ago

AI Markets

Gemini Seeks to Build Brokerage Distribution Network Ahead of Rivals

Zaid Al-Rashidi 9d ago

AI Markets

Criminal case prompts federal judge to clarify prediction market rules

Zaid Al-Rashidi 10d ago

AI Markets

Cboe's KPI binary options proposal splits prediction market regulators

Zaid Al-Rashidi 10d ago

AI Markets

Novig opens its first NFL season with no federal rulebook in place

Zaid Al-Rashidi 12d ago

AI Markets

Capital Vault UAE secures federal crypto licence for Abu Dhabi custody

Capital Vault UAE holds CMA permissions for dealing as agent or matching principal, and for custody.

Zaid Al-Rashidi 13d ago

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The spread is where your edge quietly goes to die.

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AI Markets

QuinnBet's youngest bettors slipped through a manual age limit system

Zaid Al-Rashidi 13d ago

AI Markets

Kalshi's 6th Circuit case shifts federal preemption to new ground

Zaid Al-Rashidi 14d ago

AI Markets

Cantor block trades expose the flaw in Kalshi's mention market timing

Zaid Al-Rashidi 15d ago

AI Markets

Mention markets face manipulation review as CFTC examines speech bets

Zaid Al-Rashidi 15d ago

AI Markets

Kalshi halts mention markets under direct CFTC pressure

Zaid Al-Rashidi 17d ago

AI Markets

Kalshi files for equity index perpetuals with CFTC

The $24 billion in monthly trading volume the sector is currently reporting was built almost entirely on the binary model.

Zaid Al-Rashidi 17d ago

Partner

AI Markets

Anthropic's compute bet reveals how fast the AI frontier is repricing risk

Gambity's signal on whether a second major voluntary pause follows within twelve months now sits at 61%, driven not by sentiment but by the structural logic visible in what Anthropic and Ope…

Zaid Al-Rashidi 23d ago

AI Markets

AI Markets

Ninth Circuit ruling puts Kalshi sports model under federal review

Kalshi faces $500,000 daily fine in Michigan regulatory dispute

Michigan court makes Kalshi geofence sports contracts statewide

Arizona court extends election wagering case beyond sports ruling

1789 Capital's Polymarket stake draws a second political investor

Fanatics joins NFL betting roster as exclusivity clause disappears

You found the right person. They live in the wrong place.

Alpaca deal gives Kalshi a path into 300 financial institutions

Prediction market ETF filings reach 128 funds as SEC holds approvals

Sportradar deal strengthens legal argument for prediction markets

Former White House staffer ordered to pay $172,000 for prediction market trades

Ninth Circuit and Third Circuit now hold opposite views on Kalshi

Prediction market insider trading probe widens to earnings bets

Nobody thinks they are worth hacking. That is the appeal.

DraftKings player availability markets draw CFTC injury warning

Novig wins stays in two states as prediction market litigation stalls

Gemini Seeks to Build Brokerage Distribution Network Ahead of Rivals

Criminal case prompts federal judge to clarify prediction market rules

Cboe's KPI binary options proposal splits prediction market regulators

Novig opens its first NFL season with no federal rulebook in place

Capital Vault UAE secures federal crypto licence for Abu Dhabi custody

The spread is where your edge quietly goes to die.

QuinnBet's youngest bettors slipped through a manual age limit system

Kalshi's 6th Circuit case shifts federal preemption to new ground

Cantor block trades expose the flaw in Kalshi's mention market timing

Mention markets face manipulation review as CFTC examines speech bets

Kalshi halts mention markets under direct CFTC pressure

Kalshi files for equity index perpetuals with CFTC

Nobody knows who owns it. Everyone assumes someone does.

Virginia shooting puts prediction markets on campus gun violence back

Instagram networks turn Ceuta's border into a monetised crossing market

Netanyahu's nuclear jibe at Britain opens a parliamentary inquiry market

Putin's Kuril visit sharpens Japan's territorial claim at the UN

Europe's heat corridor becomes a pricing problem prediction markets have not yet solved

OpenAI pauses Astra model development over autonomous cyberweapon risk

Anthropic's compute bet reveals how fast the AI frontier is repricing risk

AI agents reach real systems before safety tests can stop them

Bezos Buys Football: Liverpool at 34%

Farage Signal: Reform Surge Prices 61%

Drones Over Leipzig: Germany's 67% Problem