Risk
Stillness as a tell. The tail risk nobody wants to price. Always finds the thing the market is ignoring.
California Gaming Association Chair Challenges CFTC Swap Redefinition
One would expand the definition of a "swap" to capture event contracts — the instrument Kalshi has used to argue federal preemption of state gambling law.
James Harrington
54m ago
MGM and Caesars step back from prediction markets over licence risk
James Harrington
7h ago
DraftKings AI lawsuit spreads beyond Massachusetts court
James Harrington
1d ago
MGM warns Nevada licence threat will outlast prediction market ruling
James Harrington
2d ago
CME's Terry Duffy says 2,500 self-certifications drew no CFTC objection
James Harrington
3d ago
Third Circuit and Ninth Circuit split forces Supreme Court to weigh in
James Harrington
3d ago
The spread is where your edge quietly goes to die.
CFTC proposes treating event contracts as swaps in review
CFTC Chairman Mike Selig has been explicit about his reading of the agency's jurisdiction.
James Harrington
4d ago
Tribal leaders turned down Mansour's Kalshi advisor offer
James Harrington
6d ago
SAFE Bet Act puts federal gambling standards before a split Congress
James Harrington
6d ago
Kalshi circuit split deepens as Supreme Court filing date nears
James Harrington
7d ago
Gaming regulator launches AI investigation into DraftKings betting tools
James Harrington
7d ago
Ninth Circuit dealt states their first real win against Kalshi
James Harrington
8d ago
Delaware has never seen you. It doesn't need to.
NCLGS amicus brief backs New Jersey bid for Supreme Court review
The National Council of Legislators from Gaming States has now filed an amicus brief behind that petition, and the argument they are making is not the one most people in this industry expect…
James Harrington
9d ago
Stake's Curaçao license predated resolution of its ownership questions
The Curaçao framework has operated for years as the offshore jurisdiction of choice for crypto gambling operators who want a legal wrapper without the compliance burden that Malta, Gibraltar…
James Harrington
10d ago
DraftKings holds its NFL market share lead as prediction unit grows
James Harrington
11d ago
FX1 and Twenty First Group target combat sports data gap for sportsbooks
James Harrington
11d ago
CFTC opens fraud inquiry into Polymarket after platform CEO alerted
James Harrington
12d ago
NFL season betting split puts prediction markets at one-fifth of action
James Harrington
13d ago
Underdog's Connecticut lawsuit puts CFTC authority on trial
When a regulated platform files for declaratory judgment and a permanent injunction in the same motion, it is not running a legal defense.
James Harrington
14d ago
Nobody became a founder to file expense reports.
Underdog seeks court order blocking Connecticut sports contract oversight
James Harrington
14d ago
Tunica-Biloxi tribe secures settlement as court limits Kalshi's immunity
James Harrington
15d ago
Indiana gaming director questions CFTC legal basis for silence
James Harrington
15d ago
CFTC's quiet expansion leaves tribal and state conflicts unresolved
James Harrington
16d ago
Michael Selig's Silence Signals Intent to Jason Giles
James Harrington
16d ago
California tribal ruling gives states a new path to restrict Kalshi
Judge Margaret McKeown wrote that the lower court had erred in treating those contracts as federally regulated derivatives.
James Harrington
17d ago
Eleven subscriptions. Nine of them do the same thing.
Genius Sports sees no bad outcome as prediction markets fight states
James Harrington
18d ago
Crypto.com and Robinhood take CLARITY Act fight to Supreme Court
James Harrington
18d ago
Dutch monopoly renewal bets on Council of State ruling its own way
James Harrington
19d ago
Governor warns prediction markets threaten student athlete integrity
James Harrington
20d ago
FanDuel CEO touts prediction markets despite state bans
James Harrington
21d ago
Underdog Predict joins nine-platform halt as Connecticut widens net
Polymarket.
James Harrington
21d ago
Connecticut cease-and-desist orders reach eight platforms beyond Kalshi
com, Robinhood, ProphetX, Novig, Webull, Gemini, and Underdog Predict to immediately stop offering sports event contracts to Connecticut residents.
James Harrington
22d ago
Michigan Judge Blocks Kalshi From Operating in State
James Harrington
23d ago
Travis Weaver introduces bill to repeal gaming tax
James Harrington
23d ago
VGW pays New York $8 million to settle sweepstakes casino claims
James Harrington
24d ago
Kalshi swap claim covers under one percent of its contracts
James Harrington
24d ago
Kalshi suspends three candidates who bet on their own races
What it has done is establish, without much fanfare, that the conflict-of-interest question in prediction markets is no longer theoretical.
James Harrington
25d ago
Cayuga Nation has until September 22 to answer Caesars dismissal bid
James Harrington
25d ago
Google Engineer Faces Insider Trading Charges Over Polymarket Bet
James Harrington
26d ago
FCA review forces UK platforms to choose their regulator
James Harrington
27d ago
Polymarket's foreign exchange move tests a market built for catastrophe
James Harrington
27d ago
NFL's single-play contracts draw fresh manipulation scrutiny
James Harrington
29d ago
Missouri attorney general says prediction markets owe sports betting taxes
James Harrington
29d ago
Kalshi's international push rests on a framework still being built
For Kalshi, plugging into that infrastructure is faster than building a parallel distribution network from scratch.
James Harrington
31d ago
Kalshi plans crude oil perpetuals as sports case heads to Supreme Court
James Harrington
32d ago
Nic Brereton's second licence suspended inside five months
James Harrington
33d ago
Casino lobby frames prediction markets as unlicensed gambling
James Harrington
34d ago
Kalshi bets NFL season volume will outrun its legal trouble
James Harrington
35d ago
FlightAware drops lawsuit against Kalshi as federal courts diverge
James Harrington
37d ago
DraftKings expands into player availability markets following Kalshi's lead
James Harrington
38d ago