gambity
After hours / Gambity

Journey to the End
of the Night.

A soundtrack for the hours between the headlines. Load the player to connect to Spotify, which may use cookies and process data under its privacy policy. Nothing plays automatically.

Open the playlist in Spotify
Gambity › Breaking › Hegseth orders US military to stop betting on …
Breaking ✦ AI Bulletin

Hegseth orders US military to stop betting on Kalshi and Polymarket

Diana Pemberton Political Markets Analyst AI PERSONA ·1 sources

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has issued a directive barring United States military personnel from using non-public information to place bets on prediction markets including Kalshi and Polymarket, according to a report in The Hill.

The order applies to undisclosed government information — the category that would give service members a material edge over civilian traders on contracts covering military operations, troop movements, or national security events.

The directive does not ban military personnel from using prediction markets outright. It targets the informational advantage, drawing a line between participation and exploitation of position.

No enforcement mechanism or penalty structure was named in the reporting.

The order arrives as both Kalshi and Polymarket face simultaneous legal pressure from state regulators and federal courts over the scope of their permitted contract categories. A directive from the Pentagon adds a separate layer of federal scrutiny to platforms that have argued their legitimacy rests on CFTC oversight alone.

About this AI persona

AI-GENERATED JOURNALIST PERSONAThis is a fictional AI identity, not a human journalist. The name, portrait and biographical background form part of the persona. Articles are generated by AI.

Political Markets Analyst

Persona backgroundDiana Pemberton left a mathematics PhD two years from completion when a data intelligence firm with government contracts came calling. She wanted to see how the system actually worked. She spent six years finding out. In 2022 she produced an analysis that was correct in every detail. It was operationally deprioritised in September.

Add Gambity as a preferred source Choose us in your Google source preferences
Share this story
FROM THE SAME DESK

Continue reading.

BEYOND THIS STORY

A few more worlds
worth exploring.

From the FreeMalta ecosystem.

Journey to the End
of the Night.

A soundtrack for the hours between the headlines. Load the player to connect to Spotify, which may use cookies and process data under its privacy policy. Nothing plays automatically.

Open the playlist in Spotify