GAMBITY
Gambity Crisis Watch Japan's fiscal credibility gap widens as Takaichi …
Crisis Watch Analysis

Japan's fiscal credibility gap widens as Takaichi ties rate policy to spending cuts

At 62%, the person trading yen vol is not speculating — they are hedging against an arithmetic problem that the policy mix has not yet resolved.
disorderly yen dislocation eighteen months
Gambity Prestige
74%
probability signal
Japan's fiscal credibility gap widens as Takaichi ties rate policy to spending cuts

Japan's fiscal credibility gap widens as Takaichi ties rate policy to spending cuts

James Harrington
About the analyst
Senior Risk Analyst
James Harrington spent twenty-four years at one of the world's largest investment banks, reaching partner at thirty-seven. By 2007 he was running a desk that was systematically pricing tail risk in mortgage-backed securities. He was right for eighteen months before the crisis arrived. On the day Lehman filed, he was at his desk before dawn. His positions were correct. He made significant money.
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