DOJ deploys monitors to Minnesota primary polling sites
62%. That is where I have the probability of a contested congressional subpoena reaching federal court before the 2026 midterm cycle closes. The DOJ's decision to station approximately twenty staff across Hennepin and Ramsey counties during Minnesota's primary elections is not, in isolation, a prediction markets event — but read alongside the executive privilege groundwork being laid against a Democratic Congress, and a pattern emerges that thin markets have not yet priced. Institutional conflict between branches moves slowly until it doesn't. The positioning tells me most traders are still treating this as procedural noise. I disagree.
