Spencer Cox called it a joke. The CFTC's answer arrived in the US District Court for the District of Utah, Central Division, with Derek Brown named as a defendant alongside the state itself.
The filing is the Commission's tenth preemption action against a state that has moved to restrict prediction market operators — and the first against a state with a Republican governor. That detail matters to the litigation map. The prior nine actions ran against states whose administrations were, at minimum, less ideologically aligned with a Trump-era CFTC. Chair Michael Selig now has to defend the same federal authority claim in territory where his own political coalition is the adversary. His statement did not soften for the geography: Utah, he said, seeks to shut down prediction markets across a wide variety of markets, and Congress entrusted the Commission with sole responsibility to oversee them.
The state's position, filed last week, is that Kalshi is running an illegal gambling operation — a public nuisance causing ongoing harm — in violation of Utah statutes covering sports, elections, and political betting. Kalshi's spokesperson Jacki McGavick responded that the company answers to federal law and that no single state should hold veto power over a federally regulated exchange. That framing is not new. It is the preemption argument the Commission has made in nine prior courts, and the argument that has survived initial challenge in several of them.
The legal question underneath all of it is not whether Kalshi is a good actor or a bad one. It is whether the Commodity Exchange Act's grant of exclusive jurisdiction to the CFTC over designated contract markets displaces state gambling law when the two conflict. The Supremacy Clause makes that a tractable question, but not a simple one. States have historically held broad police powers over gambling within their borders, and those powers do not evaporate because a federal agency has decided a given instrument is a commodity derivative. The circuit courts have not yet produced a definitive answer, and New Jersey's petition asking the Supreme Court to take the question suggests the circuits may not get there first.
What has shifted with this filing is the political texture of the litigation. The prior nine cases let state officials frame the CFTC as a federal regulator overriding local democratic choices on a culturally charged issue. A Democratic governor opposing a Trump appointee's jurisdictional land-grab is a legible political story. Cox opposing Selig is the same structural claim in the opposite costume, and that creates pressure on both sides that the earlier filings did not.
The preemption standard the courts will apply comes from the Supremacy Clause and the Commodity Exchange Act's express jurisdictional language at 7 U.S.C. § 7a-3. The test is whether Congress intended the federal scheme to occupy the field, or whether it left room for concurrent state authority. Express preemption language, where it exists, ends that inquiry early. What the courts will read is whether the Act's grant to the CFTC is exclusive in the sense that forecloses state enforcement — not merely in the sense that creates a parallel federal option.
The Commodity Exchange Act grants the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over designated contract markets, and the Supremacy Clause determines whether that federal authority displaces conflicting state gambling statutes. Courts apply a preemption standard based on whether Congress intended the federal scheme to occupy the field entirely or leave room for state police powers over gambling within their borders. The circuit courts have not yet produced a definitive answer on this conflict.
Utah's Attorney General Derek Brown was named alongside the state itself in the US District Court for the District of Utah, Central Division, because Utah has moved to restrict prediction market operators under state statutes covering sports, elections, and political betting. The state characterizes Kalshi's operations as an illegal gambling operation and public nuisance. This is the CFTC's tenth preemption action against a state restricting prediction markets, and the first against a Republican-led state administration.
The prior nine preemption cases allowed state officials to frame the CFTC as a federal regulator overriding local democratic choices on a culturally charged issue, with Democratic governors opposing Trump appointee Michael Selig. Utah Governor Spencer Cox opposing Selig inverts that political narrative while preserving the same structural jurisdictional claim, creating pressure on both sides that earlier filings did not face. The litigation's political texture now complicates how each side can frame federal versus state authority over prediction markets.
The CFTC has filed ten preemption actions against states restricting prediction markets, and the preemption argument has survived initial challenge in several of those courts, though no single circuit has produced a definitive ruling. New Jersey has petitioned the Supreme Court to resolve the question, suggesting the circuits may not deliver a unified answer first. The preemption standard applies the Supremacy Clause and the Commodity Exchange Act's jurisdictional language at 7 U.S.C. § 7a-3.
Continue reading.
Supreme Court petition makes Utah the tenth CFTC preemption case
Utah Attorney General calls prediction markets a public nuisance
Kalshi's federal preemption claim reaches Louisiana's own courts
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