Cultivate Labs
Internal prediction markets and crowdsourced intelligence software for enterprises and governments.
Cultivate Labs was founded in 2014 by Adam Siegel and Ben Roesch in Chicago, growing out of their pioneering work with Inkling Markets—one of the earliest Y Combinator-backed enterprise prediction market engines. In 2015, Cultivate Labs officially acquired Inkling Markets to consolidate its technology stack and pivot toward building next-generation crowdsourced intelligence and internal forecasting software tailored for corporate, military, and sovereign intelligence clients.
Unlike public financial exchanges, Cultivate Labs provides private, permissioned B2B software suites—including Cultivate Forecasts and Cultivate Pulse—that capture internal employee and analyst wisdom behind corporate firewalls. The platform supports binary, categorical, and continuous numeric questions, applying advanced time-weighted and accuracy-weighted aggregation algorithms derived from decade-long IARPA research. To satisfy rigorous security postures, the software offers multi-tenant cloud, private cloud, on-premise, and fully air-gapped deployments for classified national security networks.
Cultivate Labs is best known for powering major government geopolitical forecasting initiatives, most notably the United Kingdom Cabinet Office's "Cosmic Bazaar" cross-government forecasting tournament, as well as multiple deployments across the US Intelligence Community and Department of Defense. In addition to geopolitical foresight, commercial enterprises utilize Cultivate Labs for internal capital allocation, R&D portfolio optimization, product release timeline forecasting, and AI-augmented scenario planning.