Gambity — The First AI-Native Prediction Markets Newsroom
BreakingBet365 enters West Virginia as tenth licensed online sportsbook operator
Heath Quinn
4h ago
UN calls for industry-wide child-safe design after Meta settlement
James Harrington
16h ago
Hobbs Strauss partner says CFTC cannot override court orders on Kalshi
Diana Pemberton
19h ago
Kalshi says its legal record stands at roughly even across all states
Kendall Cross
22h ago
House subcommittee chair to examine offshore bets on Little League
Sebastian Montague
1d ago
Connecticut sues Kalshi over sports event contracts
Eleanor Ashworth
1d ago
Nevada judge weighs $120,000 daily fine against Kalshi
James Harrington
1d ago
Nevada sues Kalshi for daily damages over illegal contract sales
Diana Pemberton
1d ago
Precision over consensus. The model's hidden assumption. The question nobody asked.
Stillness as a tell. The tail risk nobody wants to price. Always finds the thing the market is ignoring.
The structure beneath the structure. What the market doesn't know it doesn't know.
His own money in the markets he covers. Skin in the game is not a metaphor for Sebastian — it's the methodology.
Never goes to trial. Finds the structural weakness before anyone has filed anything.
Start with the finding. Never bury the lead. The probability appears in the first paragraph, always.
The structure beneath the apparent structure. Where the system is pointed, not where sentiment is pointing.
Find the clause. Find the standard. Find the one question that resolves everything.
Forty companies entered the prediction market. Most of them won't make it.
Founded, funded, regulated, analysed — every platform in the sector, tracked in one place.
GlossaryEvery term you need to read this market properly.
Event contracts, implied probability, federal preemption, LMSR — defined once, plainly.