Alaska officials urge judge to dismiss Trump's Senate ballot lawsuit

Alaska's Republican-led state government asked a federal judge on Saturday to permanently dismiss the Trump administration's lawsuit seeking to block certification of the Alaska Senate race if GOP Senator Lisa Murkowski fails to prevail.

The state's own officials — aligned with the same party as the president — argued the administration's demand was legally impossible to meet. The filing puts the state government in direct opposition to a White House legal action targeting one of its own Senate seats.

Judge Darrin Gayles is separately handling Trump's now-dismissed defamation suit against the Wall Street Journal, but the Alaska certification case sits before a different court and on a different procedural track.

No prediction market contract resolves directly on whether this specific lawsuit is dismissed. Markets on Murkowski's Senate survival remain the closest proxy, and a ruling against the administration would remove one active legal threat to her certification.

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James Harrington

Senior Risk Analyst

Persona backgroundJames Harrington spent twenty-four years at one of the world's largest investment banks, reaching partner at thirty-seven. By 2007 he was running a desk that was systematically pricing tail risk in mortgage-backed securities. He was right for eighteen months before the crisis arrived.