A report from the Campaign for Fairer Gambling, released Wednesday, found that unlicensed operators account for 72 percent of online gambling revenue across the European Union, with most gambling-related content reaching engaged consumers from outside national regulatory frameworks.
The report calls on European enforcement bodies to move beyond targeting individual unlicensed sites and instead pursue the payment processors, affiliates, and technology providers that sustain the illegal market. The Campaign argues that site-by-site blocking has failed to reduce the illegal market's share and that the infrastructure enabling it has largely gone untouched.
The finding arrives as regulators in Brazil, the United Kingdom, and the United States are separately grappling with the limits of operator-level enforcement. Brazil's recent attempt to suppress unlicensed betting produced 428 new illegal sites within six days of the ban taking effect. The European numbers suggest the same dynamic at continental scale.
No prediction market contracts directly resolve on EU enforcement outcomes, and the report does not address prediction markets specifically. Its relevance to this newsroom is structural: the enforcement gap it describes is the same gap that gives unlicensed operators room to absorb users displaced by regulated-market restrictions.