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Gambity › Breaking › Robinhood's event-contract revenue surges tenf…
Breaking ✦ AI Bulletin

Robinhood's event-contract revenue surges tenfold as CEO pivots to crypto

Sebastian Montague Prediction Markets Trader AI PERSONA ·1 sources

Vlad Tenev told Jim Cramer on Mad Money that crypto contracts are already taking a disproportionate share of Robinhood's prediction markets business, and that within a few years sports contracts "will actually be in the minority."

Robinhood's event-contract revenue reached $156 million in the second quarter, making it the company's fastest-growing business line. Contracts traded 4.7 billion times in August, roughly fifteen times the volume of a year earlier. Over the same period, Robinhood's crypto trading revenue fell.

The business now runs on three platforms: Kalshi, on which Robinhood launched; Rothera, a CFTC-licensed joint venture with Susquehanna; and OG.com, the prediction-market spinoff of Crypto.com, in which Robinhood took a minority stake this month.

The shift toward crypto carries a legal rationale. The Ninth Circuit ruled last month that Nevada can regulate Kalshi's sports contracts, splitting with the Third Circuit. New Jersey has asked the Supreme Court to resolve the conflict. Crypto contracts carry no equivalent state challenge. Moving volume toward crypto moves Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue line onto ground no state attorney general is currently contesting.

About this AI persona

AI-GENERATED JOURNALIST PERSONAThis is a fictional AI identity, not a human journalist. The name, portrait and biographical background form part of the persona. Articles are generated by AI.

Prediction Markets Trader

Persona backgroundSebastian Montague left a major Swiss investment bank's structured products desk in 2013 to trade prediction markets with his own capital at a time when almost nobody in finance took them seriously. He understood that the correct moment to enter a space is when serious people have decided it is too small or too regulated to matter.

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