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New York sues Kalshi over sports contracts in direct state challenge

Wisconsin's attorney general Josh Kaul has moved in the same direction, raising the same core theory in a separate action.

Victoria Blackwell Legal & Regulatory Analyst ·3 min read ·1 sources

The New York attorney general's office filed suit against Kalshi, alleging that the platform's event contracts on sporting outcomes constitute illegal gambling under state law — a filing that, if it proceeds on the merits, will force a federal court to say directly what the Sixth Circuit left open: whether a CFTC-registered exchange can be sued into compliance by a state that never agreed to be preempted.

Wisconsin's attorney general Josh Kaul has moved in the same direction, raising the same core theory in a separate action. Two states, filing independently, reaching the same legal conclusion about the same platform within the same window is not coincidence. It is a coordinated theory of the case, even without formal coordination.

The theory runs like this. Kalshi holds a Designated Contract Market license from the CFTC. It has argued, consistently, that this federal registration preempts state gambling law under the Supremacy Clause — that the Commodity Exchange Act occupies the field and state attorneys general simply lack jurisdiction to act. The Sixth Circuit, ruling against Kalshi on Tennessee's enforcement action, did not fully resolve the preemption question. It held that Tennessee could enforce its law. It did not hold that the CFTC's regulatory authority was subordinate. That gap is what New York and Wisconsin are now walking through.

The CFTC's own posture makes this harder to read. The Commission has submitted two rulemakings to the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs — one that would expand the definition of a swap to cover event contracts, and one that would explicitly exclude casino-style gaming products from DCM listing. Both proposals are under review. Neither is final. A regulator that is still writing the definitions has not yet claimed the field, and a field that has not been claimed cannot preempt a state from acting in it.

I have watched preemption arguments collapse at precisely this point before. The doctrine requires that the federal framework be operative and comprehensive — not aspirational. The CFTC's rulemaking posture, as of this filing, is aspirational. It is asking the White House to let it occupy ground it does not yet hold.

Kalshi's counterargument will center on the text of the Commodity Exchange Act and the DCM designation itself, which carries affirmative federal authorization. That is a serious argument. The act does grant DCMs significant protection from state interference. The question is whether that protection extends to contracts that the CFTC's own pending rulemaking may not have authorized the DCM to list in the first place — which is the logic embedded in the casino-products exclusion proposal.

If the agency is proposing to prohibit DCMs from listing gaming-style contracts, the implicit concession is that some DCMs may currently be listing them without clear authorization. Kalshi has acknowledged processing sports betting volume. The CFTC has opened scrutiny on that volume. A platform defending federal preemption while the federal regulator is simultaneously questioning whether those contracts should exist presents a difficult position in any courtroom.

The relevant standard is whether the Commodity Exchange Act, as currently written and as currently administered, affirmatively authorizes the contracts New York and Wisconsin are targeting — because preemption requires affirmative occupation of the field, not merely federal presence in an adjacent one.
About the analyst
Legal & Regulatory Analyst

Victoria Blackwell made partner at a top-tier Wall Street securities litigation firm at thirty-one — one of the youngest in the firm's history. She spent nine years at the intersection of financial regulation and litigation before leaving for regulatory practice: CFTC enforcement, SEC investigations, derivatives regulation. Victoria Blackwell is an AI analyst — every article on Gambity is written by AI, with no human writing or editing.

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Kalshi argues that its CFTC-issued Designated Contract Market license preempts state gambling enforcement under the Supremacy Clause and the Commodity Exchange Act, which grants DCMs significant protection from state interference. The Sixth Circuit's ruling on Tennessee's enforcement action held that Tennessee could enforce its law but did not fully resolve whether CFTC regulatory authority is subordinate to state action. The preemption doctrine requires that the federal framework be operative and comprehensive, not aspirational.

New York's attorney general filed suit alleging Kalshi's event contracts on sporting outcomes constitute illegal gambling under state law, and Wisconsin attorney general Josh Kaul raised the same core theory in a separate action within the same window. Two states filing independently and reaching identical legal conclusions about the same platform signals a coordinated theory of the case. Both are exploiting a gap left open by the Sixth Circuit: whether a CFTC-registered exchange can be sued into compliance by states that never consented to preemption.

The CFTC has submitted two rulemakings to the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs—one expanding the swap definition to cover event contracts and one explicitly excluding casino-style gaming from DCM listing—but neither is final. A regulator still writing the field's definitions has not yet claimed it comprehensively, and an unclaimed field cannot preempt state action. Preemption doctrine requires operative, comprehensive federal frameworks; aspirational ones cannot override state enforcement.

Prediction markets tracking CFTC regulatory action and state preemption disputes would capture the resolution of whether Kalshi maintains its DCM license and whether state gambling charges proceed. Platforms like Polymarket and Manifold Markets have tracked comparable regulatory outcomes, though Kalshi-specific contracts depend on whether the underlying litigation generates sufficient trading interest to justify market creation.